Share

SA narrowly avoids a recession

accreditation
0:00
play article
Subscribers can listen to this article
Photo: Getty
Photo: Getty

Despite record levels of load shedding and aggressive rate hikes, South Africa's first-quarter GDP grew by 0.4%.

This was exactly in line with economists' consensus forecast, according to a Thomson Reuters poll.

The economy shrank by a revised 1.1% in the fourth quarter of 2022. Growth in the first quarter means South Africa avoided a technical recession, which is defined as two consecutive quarters of a shrinking economy.

While the South African economy is now slightly bigger than before the Covid pandemic, it still remains below its peak in the third quarter of last year.

Real GDP at constant 2015 prices, seasonally adjusted. Source: Statistics SA

The SA Reserve Bank previously estimated that load shedding will shave two percentage points off GDP growth this year. The bank's aggressive rate hiking cycle - 475 basis points over 18 months – is also restricting the economy.

Still, the manufacturing industry continued to grow (1.5%), with food and beverage output expanding the most in the first quarter.

The finance, real estate and business services industry (+0.6%), personal services industry (+0.8%) and the transport, storage and communication industry (+1.1%) also saw growth.

Source: Statistics SA

However, agriculture slumped by 12.3%, weighed down by a decline in the production of field crops and animal products, Statistics SA said. The motor trade also recorded a decrease in economic activity.

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
18.47
+0.6%
Rand - Pound
23.13
+0.4%
Rand - Euro
19.91
+0.2%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.22
-0.1%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+0.5%
Platinum
984.14
+0.7%
Palladium
971.05
+1.5%
Gold
2,344.84
+1.6%
Silver
28.32
+3.6%
Brent-ruolie
83.58
+0.5%
Top 40
71,340
+0.6%
All Share
77,539
+0.5%
Resource 10
61,846
+1.5%
Industrial 25
108,187
+0.5%
Financial 15
16,744
-0.2%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders