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Climate change has cost Southern Africa R640bn since 1980

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An aerial view of a neighbourhood devastated by Cyclone Idai on 24 March, 2019 in Beira, Mozambique. Transnet wants to know if such destructive storms could be heading south as far as Durban.
An aerial view of a neighbourhood devastated by Cyclone Idai on 24 March, 2019 in Beira, Mozambique. Transnet wants to know if such destructive storms could be heading south as far as Durban.
Andrew Renneisen, Getty Images
  • About 606 water-related natural disasters, most of them floods, have negatively affected Africa in the past 40 years.
  • About 2.7 million people were left homeless since 1980 in Southern Africa because of climate change.
  • Cyclones will continue to be a problem for Southern Africa as they increase in frequency and severity.

About 36% of the natural disasters that have occurred in Africa in the past four decades were in Southern Africa and they carried an estimated cumulative economic loss of R640 billion ($40 billion).

Alize le Roux, a senior researcher for African Futures and Innovation at the Institute of Security Studies (ISS), revealed this in a presentation on Tuesday during a virtual discussion titled: "What is Southern Africa's plan for the climate crisis?"

In her presentation, she also said there were 606 water-related disasters in the same period that led to loss of life, displacement, and the destruction of infrastructure and economic activities.

"In these four decades, SADC (the Southern African Development Community) has seen about 606 what we call hydro-metrological disasters. These are events where people have lost their lives, [have been] displaced, or there has been significant infrastructure damage," she said.

In recent times, Cyclone Idai of 2019 was recorded as one of the worst tropical cyclones to affect Africa and the Southern hemisphere. It caused a humanitarian crisis that stretched from Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi and Zimbabwe, leaving 1 300 people dead and many more missing, and directly affecting three million people.

Painting a bigger picture of disasters since 1980, Le Roux said "about 170 million people have been directly affected in the past four decades" and about 2.7 million people have been left homeless.

Le Roux said:

We are expecting the damages would have exceeded $40 billion by now.

She also said water was the "Achilles' heel" of Southern Africa.

"Ninety percent of people who've been affected in SADC, requiring urgent assistance is because of either too much or too little water. Three hundred and fourteen flooding events (since 1980) and around 102 droughts have struck the area," she said.

Children sit in a classroom at the Escola 25 de Ju
Children sit in a classroom at the Escola 25 de Juhno in Munhava district that was damaged during Cyclone Idai in Beira.
Zimbabwe floods,idai
Flood damage in Zimbabwe was the result of Idai.

According to ReliefWeb, a humanitarian aid monitoring institution, at least 21 people were killed in Mozambique last year, and an estimated 125 000 others were affected by the impact of storms through flooding.

She said:

The fact that Mozambique shares nine international river basins with South Africa, Zimbabwe and Zambia contributes toward their flooding incidents.

Cyclones will continue to be a problem for Southern Africa as they become more in frequency and severity. 

"What climate change does to these spectra is that it increases the footprint of these natural hazards but it also increases the frequency and it also increases the magnitude and severity of these hazards," she said.

Since cyclones feed on hot air, and temperatures are on the rise due to global warming, there are dangers of bigger destruction to infrastructure, loss of life and economic activity in the region.


The News24 Africa Desk is supported by the Hanns Seidel Foundation. The stories produced through the Africa Desk and the opinions and statements that may be contained herein do not reflect those of the Hanns Seidel Foundation.


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