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A top Red Cross official said on Friday he's "more concerned than I have ever been" about the possible regional spread of the Ebola virus after a new spike in cases, as the World Health Organisation met on whether to declare the outbreak in Congo an international health emergency.
Emanuele Capobianco, head of health and care at the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, cited Congolese health ministry statistics showing 40 new cases over two days this week. He called that rate unprecedented in this outbreak.
The Ebola outbreak in Congo announced on August 1 has become the second-deadliest in history, behind the West African one from 2014-16 that killed more than 11 300 people. Congo's health ministry on Thursday reported 1 206 confirmed and probable cases, including 764 deaths.
To be designated a public health emergency of international concern, a situation must be "serious, unusual or unexpected", threaten to infect other countries and require "immediate international action".
This outbreak has been like no other. Capobianco cited lack of trust about Ebola treatment in the community, which had never faced an outbreak of the virus before, and insecurity caused by rebel groups that has hurt aid efforts.
The outbreak is occurring close to the borders of Uganda and Rwanda, with South Sudan not far away.
Trish Newport, Doctors Without Borders' representative in Goma, a major crossroads city close to the outbreak, said declaring a global emergency wouldn't necessarily help stop the epidemic.
"Bigger is not necessarily better," she said. Doctors Without Borders is calling for patients to be treated in existing health centres rather than Ebola-specific clinics: "It's very clear that people do not like or trust the Ebola centers and they are not coming to be treated."
Newport said 75% of new Ebola cases have no obvious link to previous patients, meaning that officials have lost track of where the virus is spreading.
Previous global emergencies have been declared for the 2014 Ebola outbreak in Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea, the emergence of Zika virus in the Americas and the international attempt to eradicate polio. WHO was criticised for not declaring the 2014 Ebola outbreak an international emergency until nearly 1 000 people had died and the disease had spilled across borders.
Emergency declarations almost always boost global attention and donor funding. In recent weeks, WHO has noted it is woefully short of the $148m it says is needed to fight Ebola for the next six months. It had received only $74m as of mid-March.
Tariq Riebl, who is based in a current Ebola hot spot, Butembo, for the International Rescue Committee, said a major obstacle to stopping the outbreak is that officials are simply unaware of how many Ebola cases there are.
"We're discovering people when it's way too late," he said, noting numerous cases were buried in secret and never reported to authorities. "Given the average number of cases we're seeing now, this is not going to be over for at least another six months or more."
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